inv-AI

Public investment research

Less noise.
More signal.

Markets move fast.
Good questions last longer.

Research on the ideas, economics, and risks shaping markets. Follow the evidence. Examine the assumptions. See what could change.

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Featured analysis /

Is AI in a Bubble, and Will It Burst?

The technology is advancing. The harder question is whether the cash that comes back can justify the capital going in—and what happens if it cannot.

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THE CENTRAL QUESTION

Extraordinary technology.
What about the returns?

A growing collection of in-depth research. New analyses will appear here as they are published.

The inv-AI approach

Go beyond
the headline.

The useful question is not just what might happen, but why—and what would make us think again.

01

Start with the evidence.

Trace the argument to public sources, with dates and limitations in view.

02

Make the assumptions visible.

Explore the economics with interactive models. Change an input and see what follows.

03

Keep the conclusion open.

Consider alternative paths and the evidence that would change the view.