Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Valuation
Rating: Slight Overpriced
12-Month Fair Value: $240 – $275 – $310
Confidence: HIGH
Q1 FY26 blowout ($19.3B rev +29%, AI $8.4B +106%, Q2 guide $22B +47%). Best AI infrastructure compounder with 41% FCF margins. At ~28x NTM P/E (down from 34x), valuation improved but still prices in margin expansion. Structural risk: hyperscaler pricing leverage compresses margins as AI scales. Iran war adds supply chain/tariff risk (17% China exposure). War-inelastic AI capex offsets some macro headwinds.
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