What is the fair value of CVX?

Based on inv-AI’s institutional-grade analysis, the 12-month fair value estimate for Chevron Corporation (CVX) is $127 (range: $108–$146). Confidence level: HIGH.

Is CVX overvalued or undervalued?

Chevron Corporation (CVX) is rated Strong Overpriced by inv-AI. The current price is $196.97 versus a mid fair value of $127, implying -35.5% upside.

What is the CVX price target for 2026?

inv-AI’s 2026 fair value range for Chevron Corporation (CVX) is $108 (bear) to $146 (bull), with a base case of $127.

Chevron Corporation (CVX) Valuation

Rating: Strong Overpriced

12-Month Fair Value: $108 – $127 – $146

Confidence: HIGH

Crisis Update v3.0 (Methodology Corrected) — Corrected cyclical valuation: peak-cycle P/E compression (7x at $130 Brent, not 12x), crisis-adjusted WACC (8.50%, not 7.46%), TSY replacing DDM. Fair value falls from flawed $154 to $127. At $197, CVX trades 55% above fair value. ALL near-term scenarios produce 36-48% downside. No scenario justifies current price. Recommendation: SELL / SHORT. Trade of the year: short CVX at $197, cover at $126.

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