The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Valuation
Rating: Slightly Overpriced
12-Month Fair Value: $256 – $301 – $346
Confidence: MEDIUM
At $387, Home Depot trades at 26x trailing earnings — a premium to its 10-year median (~23x) partly justified by the transformative SRS/GMS acquisitions that expand the addressable market by $50B. The business is navigating a housing-cycle trough with same-store sales flat and EPS declining ~5% in FY2025.
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