What is the fair value of ORCL?

Based on inv-AI’s institutional-grade analysis, the 12-month fair value estimate for Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is $120 (range: $53–$129). Confidence level: MEDIUM.

Is ORCL overvalued or undervalued?

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is rated Moderately Overpriced by inv-AI. The current price is $161.91 versus a mid fair value of $120, implying -25.9% upside.

What is the ORCL price target for 2026?

inv-AI’s 2026 fair value range for Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is $53 (bear) to $129 (bull), with a base case of $120.

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Valuation

Rating: Moderately Overpriced

12-Month Fair Value: $53 – $120 – $129

Confidence: MEDIUM

Q3 FY2026 results genuinely positive (OCI +84%, AI infra +243%), but corrected DCF ($85) reveals stock is 26% overvalued at $162. Deferred revenue unwind fix: customer prepays create cash in Year 1 but non-cash NOPAT in Years 2-4 — v3.1 counted both. Terminal FCF de-juiced to $27.9B. P/E switched to GAAP EPS ($6.20 × 22x = $136) because SBC is a real expense. All four methods below market. Even bull DCF ($129) is 20% below current price. REDUCE / HEAVY UNDERWEIGHT.

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