What is the fair value of RTX?

Based on inv-AI’s institutional-grade analysis, the 12-month fair value estimate for RTX Corporation (RTX) is $190 (range: $155–$235). Confidence level: HIGH.

Is RTX overvalued or undervalued?

RTX Corporation (RTX) is rated Fairly Priced — High by inv-AI. The current price is $200.73 versus a mid fair value of $190, implying -5.3% upside.

What is the RTX price target for 2026?

inv-AI’s 2026 fair value range for RTX Corporation (RTX) is $155 (bear) to $235 (bull), with a base case of $190.

RTX Corporation (RTX) Valuation

Rating: Fairly Priced — High

12-Month Fair Value: $155 – $190 – $235

Confidence: HIGH

RTX products are central to the Iran war (Tomahawk, Patriot, SM-6, SM-3, AMRAAM all in active combat). 400+ Tomahawks fired in 72 hours created a multi-year munitions replenishment cycle. $200B Pentagon supplemental request, Golden Dome expanded to $185B, five 7-year framework agreements accelerated by wartime consumption. However, RTX has dramatically underperformed defense peers (flat vs LMT +30%, GD +29%, LHX +69%) due to Trump personally targeting Raytheon, GTF recall extending to 2030, and Merops AI drone disruption ($15K vs $4M Patriot). Updated fair value $190 (up from $172 in v1.0) — near the top of the $162-$219 band. Near-term R/R 0.72:1 (Unfavorable). Long-term R/R 4.15:1 (Highly Favorable). Accumulate below $170.

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