What is the fair value of TSLA?

Based on inv-AI’s institutional-grade analysis, the 12-month fair value estimate for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is $113 (range: $68–$158). Confidence level: MEDIUM.

Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is rated Strong Overpriced by inv-AI. The current price is $383 versus a mid fair value of $113, implying -70.5% upside.

What is the TSLA price target for 2026?

inv-AI’s 2026 fair value range for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is $68 (bear) to $158 (bull), with a base case of $113.

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Valuation

Rating: Strong Overpriced

12-Month Fair Value: $68 – $113 – $158

Confidence: MEDIUM

Bear thesis confirmed: European registrations -17%, BYD outsells 2.2:1, brand value collapsed 58%. Oil >$100 from Iran war is mixed (EV demand boost but macro recession risk). FSD only 12% penetration. At $383 (181x FY26E), stock is 70% above FV mid. R/R 0.12:1. Highest conviction overpriced in coverage.

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