UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) Valuation
Rating: Slight Underpriced
12-Month Fair Value: $210 – $310 – $400
Confidence: MEDIUM
UNH has fallen further to $272 (-53% from peak), now at cheapest valuation in 15+ years. DOJ investigation, Medicare Advantage MCR surge to 88.9%, and Optum Health losses create massive uncertainty. But war-driven defensive rotation and 15x forward P/E on normalized earnings suggest value. FV $310 mid — wide range ($210-$400) reflects binary DOJ outcome. Iran war is second-order (healthcare defensive). Upgraded to Slight Underpriced on further price decline.
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