Day 7: The Bluff Wasn't a Bluff
Category: Geopolitical · Date: 2026-03-06
Oil surges to $87-90 (highest since April 2024). Trump demands unconditional surrender. Hegseth warns firepower 'about to surge dramatically.' Hormuz physically closed (5 transits/day). BAPCO refinery struck. Azerbaijan drawn in. Day 5 thesis refuted. Path 2 (Prolonged Disruption) now dominant at 38%.
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